S.G. KERIMOV, G.G. ABDULLAYEVA, A.G. MIRZOYEV
FORECASTING AND ANALYSIS OF EPIDEMIOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT OF MYCOSESS IN DIFFERENT REGIONS OF THE COUNTRY (IN THE CASE OF THE CITIES OF GANJA AND KURDAMIR)


The authors consider the issue of mycoses epidemiology in the Azerbaijan Republic, investigating models and modeling of medical biological processes. The necessary and sufficient conditions for model development are analyzed. Time series are studied, equation of regression is built and the substantiation of their application in the solving of the problem is given. The solution is based on the collected and organized data for various facilities of the cities of Ganja and Kurdamir. The research has been implemented by means of STATISTICA-7 software package; the present state and progression forecast of the diseases under investigation are showed in graphic form.

Keywords: mathematical model, mycoses, random quantity, time series, trend line, biostatistical methods
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